Back

National Science Review

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match National Science Review's content profile, based on 22 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.08% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Efficient generation of epitope-targeted de novo antibodies with Germinal

Mille-Fragoso, L. S.; Driscoll, C. L.; Wang, J. N.; Dai, H.; Widatalla, T. M.; Zhang, J. L.; Zhang, X.; Rao, B.; Feng, L.; Hie, B. L.; Gao, X. J.

2026-04-15 synthetic biology 10.1101/2025.09.19.677421 medRxiv
Top 1%
1.2%
Show abstract

Obtaining novel antibodies against specific protein targets is a widely important yet experimentally laborious process. Meanwhile, computational methods for antibody design have been limited by low success rates that currently require resource-intensive screening. Here, we introduce Germinal, a broadly enabling generative pipeline that designs antibodies against specific epitopes with nanomolar binding affinities while requiring only low-n experimental testing. Our method co-optimizes antibody structure and sequence by integrating a structure predictor with an antibody-specific protein language model to perform de novo design of functional complementarity-determining regions (CDRs) onto a user-specified structural framework. When tested against four diverse protein targets, Germinal successfully designed functional antibodies across all targets and binder formats, testing only 43-101 designs for each antigen. Validated designs also exhibited robust expression in mammalian cells and high sequence and structural novelty. We provide open-source code and full computational and experimental protocols to facilitate wide adoption. Germinal represents a milestone in efficient, epitope-targeted de novo antibody design, with notable implications for the development of molecular tools and therapeutics.

2
De novo designed bifunctional proteins for targeted protein degradation

Mylemans, B.; Korona, B.; Acevedo-Jake, A. M.; MacRae, A.; Edwards, T. A.; Huang, D. T.; Wilson, A. J.; Itzhaki, L. S.; Woolfson, D. N.

2026-04-15 synthetic biology 10.64898/2025.12.22.695915 medRxiv
Top 3%
0.6%
Show abstract

Targeted protein degradation (TPD) is a therapeutic strategy to remove disease-causing proteins by routing them to the ubiquitin-proteasome, autophagy, or lysosme machineries. For instance, proteolysis-targeting chimeras (PROTACs) are synthetic hetero-bifunctional small molecules that simultaneously bind the target and an E3 ubiquitin ligase to drive ubiquitination and degradation by the proteasome. Despite considerable success, designing such molecules is challenging and the number of currently addressable ubiquitin E3 ligases is limited. Here we demonstrate hetero-bifunctional de novo designed proteins as alternatives for TPD to access more targets and ligases. First, we develop a stable and highly adaptable helix-turn-helix scaffold for presenting different binding sites. Next, we use computational protein design to incorporate and embellish hot-spot- binding sites to target BCL-xL, plus short linear motifs (SLiMs) for KLHL20 ligase recruitment. The resulting mono- and bi-functionalised proteins bind the targets in vitro, and the latter degrade BCL-xL in cells leading to apoptosis.

3
GPR143, a novel immunohistochemical marker for renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/MTOR-TFE alterations

Li, Q.; Singh, A.; Hu, R.; Huang, W.; Shapiro, D. D.; Abel, E. J.; Zong, Y.

2026-04-13 pathology 10.64898/2026.04.06.26350070 medRxiv
Top 4%
0.3%
Show abstract

Although several ancillary tests are available in limited laboratories, diagnosis of microphthalmia (MiT)/TFE family translocation renal cell carcinoma (tRCC) could be challenging due to diverse and overlapping tumor morphology and the lack of reliable biomarkers. GPNMB has been recently identified as a diagnostic marker for various renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations. However, the sensitivity and specificity of GPNMB immunostain are suboptimal and the result interpretation in ambiguous cases could be difficult. To search additional biomarkers that could improve the screening sensitivity and predict genetic aberrations in FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE pathway in renal tumors, we performed bioinformatic analysis of publicly available cancer databases and found GPR143, a transmembrane protein regulated by MiT transcription factors, was highly expressed in a subset of renal cell carcinomas (RCCs). In two the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) kidney cancer cohorts, RCCs with high levels of GPR143 expression were enriched for renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations. Similar to GPNMB labeling, GPR143 immunostain was positive in the majority of tRCC cases and renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/mTOR alterations, suggesting that GPR143 could function as another surrogate marker for FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations in certain renal tumors. Interestingly, despite the concordant GPR143 and GPNMB immunoreactivity in most renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations, diffuse GPR143 immunostain was observed in some cases with negative or focal GPNMB labeling. Taken together, our results indicate GPR143 could serve as a useful adjunct marker to improve the sensitivity for screening renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations.

4
Ventilator triggering control with an LSTM-Based Model

Liu, J.; Fan, J.; Deng, Z.; Tang, X.; Zhang, H.; Sharma, A.; Li, Q.; Liang, C.; Wang, A. Y.; Liu, L.; Luo, K.; Liu, H.; Qiu, H.

2026-04-11 respiratory medicine 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350573 medRxiv
Top 6%
0.2%
Show abstract

Background: Patient-ventilator synchrony, an essential prerequisite for non-invasive mechanical ventilation, requires an accurate matching of every phase of the respiration between patient and the ventilator. Methods: We developed a long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model that can predict the inspiratory and expiratory time of the patient. This model consisted of two hidden layers, each with eight LSTM units, and was trained using a dataset of approximately 27000 of 500-ms-long flow signals that captured both inspiratory and expiratory events. Results: The LSTM model achieved 97% accuracy and F1 score in the test data, and the average trigger error was less than 2.20%. In the first trial, 10 volunteers were enrolled. In "Compliance" mode, 78.6% of the triggering by the LSTM model was compatible with neuronal respiration, which was higher than Auto-Trak model (74.2%). Auto-Trak model performed marginally better in the modes of pressure support = 5 and 10 cmH2O. Considering the success in the first clinical trial, we further tested the models by including five patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). The LSTM model exhibited 60.6% of the triggering in the 33%-box, which is better than 49.0% of Auto-Trak model. And the PVI index of the LSTM model was significantly less than Auto-Trak model (36.5% vs 52.9%). Conclusions: Overall, the LSTM model performed comparable to, or even better than, Auto-Trak model in both latency and PVI index. While other mathematical models have been developed, our model was effectively embedded in the chip to control the triggering of ventilator. Trial registration: Approval Number: 2023ZDSYLL348-P01; Approval Date: 28/09/2023. Clinical Trial Registration Number: ChiCTR2500097446; Registration Date: 19/02/2025.

5
Lamin B1 physically regulates neuronal migration by modulating nuclear deformability in the developing cortex

Shin, M.; Ishida, S.; Yu, J.; Iwashita, M.; Jang, G.-u.; Cortelli, P.; Giorgio, E.; Cani, I.; Ramazzotti, G.; Ratti, S.; Yoshino, D.; Rah, J.-C.; Imai, Y.; Kosodo, Y.

2026-04-17 neuroscience 10.1101/2025.10.22.683830 medRxiv
Top 7%
0.2%
Show abstract

Neuronal migration is a vital process that positions billions of neurons to create a functional brain. To navigate the constrained microenvironments within the cortex, precise control over the nuclear mechanics in migrating neurons is indispensable. Here, we show that Lamin B1 (LB1) regulates neuronal migration by modulating nuclear deformability. Excess LB1 in neurons halted migration without altering laminar identity or overall gene expressions in vivo, while in vitro, it elevated nuclear stiffness and impaired neuronal motility in confined spaces. Moreover, mispositioned neurons resulted in electrophysiological defects in the brain. Computational modeling predicted a temporal relationship between nuclear deformation and enhanced migration velocity, which was validated experimentally through live imaging. Notably, cerebral organoid assays using iPS cells established from patients with LMNB1 duplication exhibited impaired neuronal migration in a human model. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that LB1 is a critical regulator of nuclear mechanics, ensuring the accurate spatiotemporal positioning of neurons.

6
Identification, evolutionary history and characteristics of orphan genes in root-knot nematodes

Seckin, E.; Colinet, D.; Bailly-Bechet, M.; Seassau, A.; Bottini, S.; Sarti, E.; Danchin, E. G.

2026-04-11 bioinformatics 10.64898/2025.12.19.695360 medRxiv
Top 8%
0.2%
Show abstract

Orphan genes, lacking homologs in other species, are systematically found across genomes. Their presence may result from extensive divergence from pre-existing genes or from de novo gene birth, which occurs when a gene emerges from a previously non-genic region. In this study, we identified orphan genes in the genomes of globally distributed plant-parasitic nematodes of the genus Meloidogyne and investigated their origins, evolution, and characteristics. Using a comparative genomics framework across 85 nematode species, we found that 18% of Meloidogyne genes are genus-specific, transcriptionally supported orphans. By combining ancestral sequence reconstruction and synteny-based approaches, we inferred that 20% of these orphan genes originated through high divergence, while 18% likely emerged de novo. Proteomic and translatomic evidence confirmed the translation of a subset of these genes, and feature analyses revealed distinctive molecular signatures, including shorter length, signal peptide enrichment, and a tendency for extracellular localization. These findings highlight orphan genes as a substantial and previously underexplored component of the Meloidogyne genome, with potential roles in their worldwide parasitism.

7
From Chaos to Care: Personalized AI for Early Cardiac Arrhythmia Warning

Halder, S.; Kim, C. M.; Periwal, V.

2026-04-10 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350403 medRxiv
Top 11%
0.1%
Show abstract

Cardiac arrhythmias are abnormal heart rhythms characterized by disordered electrical dynamics that impair cardiac function and pose a major global burden of morbidity and mortality. Early and accurate prediction of arrhythmic anomalies from physiological time series is crucial for effective intervention, yet remains challenging due to the nonlinear, nonstationary, and individualized nature of cardiac dynamics. Despite significant advances in machine learning-based arrhythmia detection, most existing methods operate as static classifiers on electrocardiographic signals and lack online prediction, patient-specific adaptation, and mechanistic interpretability. From a dynamical-systems perspective, arrhythmias represent qualitative regime transitions, often preceded by subtle, temporally extended deviations that are difficult to detect in real time. Here we introduce CASCADE (Chaotic Attractor Sensitivity for Cardiac Anomaly Detection), an online and personalized anomaly forecasting framework built on a special type of reservoir computing called Dynamical Systems Machine Learning (DynML). DynML employs ensembles of continuous-time nonlinear dynamical systems as chaotic reservoirs to reconstruct and forecast short-term cardiac dynamics on a beat-to-beat basis, training only a linear readout. This design enables efficient online adaptation without retraining the underlying dynamical model. Rather than relying on static beat-level classification, CASCADE identifies arrhythmic events as failures of short-term predictability, manifested as statistically significant deviations between predicted and observed dynamics relative to subject-specific baselines. Detection performance is governed by the intrinsic dynamical complexity of the reservoir, quantified by topological entropy. Reservoirs operating near critical entropy regimes optimally amplify subtle, temporally extended irregularities in heartbeat dynamics, rendering incipient arrhythmic signatures linearly separable at the readout level. Topological entropy thus serves both as a predictor of model performance and a principled control parameter for reservoir design. When evaluated on the MIT-BIH Arrhythmia dataset, CASCADE achieved consistently high F1 scores, precision, recall, and overall accuracy across diverse patient populations, demonstrating strong generalizability across clinical and real-world settings. By integrating chaotic reservoir computing, entropy-guided tuning, and online personalized forecasting, CASCADE reframes arrhythmia detection as a problem of dynamical regime transition rather than static classification. This perspective provides a scalable, interpretable, and computationally efficient framework for real-time cardiac monitoring and early-warning clinical decision support.

8
A multimodal AI model for modeling the genetic risk factor of Alzeihmer's disease

Nguyen, T. M.; Woods, C.; Liu, J.; Wang, C.; Lin, A.-L.; Cheng, J.

2026-04-15 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350803 medRxiv
Top 12%
0.1%
Show abstract

The apolipoprotein E {varepsilon}4 (APOE4) allele is the strongest genetic risk factor for late-onset Alzheimer's disease (AD), the most common form of dementia. APOE4 carriers exhibit cerebrovascular and metabolic dysfunction, structural brain alterations, and gut microbiome changes decades before the onset of clinical symptoms. A better understanding of the early manifestation of these physiological changes is critical for the development of timely AD interventions and risk reduction protocols. Multimodal datasets encompassing a wide range of APOE4- and AD-associated biomarkers provide a valuable opportunity to gain insight into the APOE4 phenotype; however, these datasets often present analytical challenges due to small sample sizes and high heterogeneity. Here, we propose a two-stage multimodal AI model (APOEFormer) that integrates blood metabolites, brain vascular and structural MRI, microbiome profiles, and other clinical and demographic data to predict APOE4 allele status. In the first stage, modality-specific encoders are used to generate initial representations of input data modalities, which are aligned in a shared latent space via self-supervised contrastive learning during pretraining. This objective encourages the learning of informative and consistent representations across modalities by leveraging cross-modality relationships. In the second stage, the pretrained representations are used as inputs to a multimodal transformer that integrates information across modalities to predict a key AD risk genetic variant (APOE4). Across 10 independent experimental runs with different train-validation-test splits, APOEFormer predicts whether an individual carries an APOE4 allele with an average accuracy of 75%, demonstrating robust performance under limited sample sizes. Post hoc perturbation analysis of the predictive model revealed valuable insights into the driving components of the APOE4 phenotype, including key blood biomarkers and brain regions strongly associated with APOE4.

9
MTHFR C677T polymorphism and promoter methylation in schizophrenia patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: evidence from a Han Chinese cohort

Yang, C.; Li, R.; Wang, X.; Li, K.; Yuan, F.; Jia, X.; Zhang, R.; Zheng, J.

2026-04-13 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350471 medRxiv
Top 15%
0.0%
Show abstract

Schizophrenia (SCZ) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are common comorbid disorders that severely impair patient prognosis and quality of life. This study aimed to explore the association between the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) C677T gene polymorphism and MTHFR promoter methylation in patients with comorbid SCZ and T2DM. A total of 120 participants were enrolled from Liaocheng Fourth Peoples Hospital between January 2025 and June 2025, comprising 30 subjects in each of the four groups: SCZ group, T2DM group, SCZ-T2DM comorbid (SCZ+T2DM) group, and healthy control (CTL) group. Corresponding primers were designed for genetic analysis, and methylation-specific PCR (MSP) was performed to detect the methylation level of the MTHFR promoter. Genotype distribution of the MTHFR C677T polymorphism was consistent with Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) (p>0.05). The C677T polymorphism was significantly associated with an elevated risk of SCZ and T2DM comorbidity (p<0.05). Notably, the methylation rate of the MTHFR promoter in the SCZ+T2DM group (95.00%) was not significantly higher than that in the CTL group (90.00%) (p>0.05). In conclusion, the MTHFR gene may serve as a susceptibility gene for SCZ-T2DM comorbidity, whereas MTHFR promoter methylation is not associated with the pathogenesis of this comorbid condition. These results indicate that genetic variation in MTHFR, rather than promoter methylation, contributes critically to the comorbidity of SCZ and T2DM in the Han Chinese population. Our findings may provide novel molecular insights into their shared pathophysiology and inform future clinical strategies for patients with this complex phenotype.

10
Recombinant zoster vaccination in patients with dementia is associated with improved survival and better cognitive preservation

Soltys, K.; Sara-Buchbut, R.; Ish Shalom, N.; Stokar, J.; Klein, B. Y.; Calderon-Margalit, R.; Greenblatt, C. L.; Ben-Haim, M. S.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350509 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

Dementia affects tens of millions of people worldwide, yet disease-modifying treatments remain strikingly limited. Although the recombinant zoster vaccine Shingrix has been associated with reduced dementia incidence, its potential influence on individuals already living with dementia is unknown. Here, we followed a propensity-score matched cohort of 68,960 US dementia patients using a nationwide electronic health record network, comparing Shingrix recipients within two years of diagnosis to recipients of any other vaccine. Shingrix was associated with substantially reduced all-cause mortality across the first three years of follow-up (hazard ratios 0.74, 0.88, and 0.89; P[&le;]0.006), robust across multiple sensitivity analyses. Furthermore, within-individual subgroup analyses of repeated Mini-Mental State Examinations conducted 3-6 years apart revealed significantly divergent cognitive decline rates across groups (time-by-group interaction P=0.002). Interval vaccination was associated with more stable cognition, contrasting with steeper declines in unvaccinated individuals. These findings support prospective evaluation of recombinant zoster vaccination as a potential strategy to improve outcomes in patients with established dementia.

11
GPS Mobility Tracking, Ecological Momentary Assessment, and Qualitative Interviewing to Specify How Space Produces Intersectional Health Inequities: Development and Pilot Testing of the Spatial Intersectionality Health Framework (SIHF) and IGEMA Methodology

Cook, S. H.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350546 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

Background. Young sexual and gender minorities of color face compound health risks shaped by interlocking systems of racism, cisgenderism, and class inequality. Spatial health research documents that place shapes health, but existing methods cannot specify the mechanisms through which spatial configurations produce different health outcomes for differently positioned people. This gap prevents targeted intervention. ObjectiveTo develop and pilot test the Spatial Intersectionality Health Framework (SIHF), which specifies three mechanisms through which space produces intersectional health inequities: Layered (multiple oppressive systems activating simultaneously), Positional (the same space producing different health pathways by intersectional position), and Conditional (nominally protective spaces carrying hidden costs for specific positions). We also introduce and validate Intersectional Geographically-Explicit Ecological Momentary Assessment (IGEMA) as the methodology operationalizing SIHF across three data levels. MethodsThe GeoSense study enrolled 32 young sexual and gender minorities of color (ages 18-29) in New York City. IGEMA was implemented across three integrated levels: (1) GPS mobility tracking via participants personal smartphones, linked to census tract structural exposure indices across n=19 participants; (2) ecological momentary assessment of intersectional discrimination with multilevel modeling of mood, stress, and sleep outcomes; and (3) map-guided qualitative interviews with SIHF mechanism coding and intercoder reliability assessment across 92 coded records from 18 participants. This study was conducted as the pilot for NIH R01HL169503. ResultsAll three SIHF mechanisms were empirically detectable. A compound structural gendered racism index outperformed every single-axis alternative in predicting daily mood (b=-0.048, p=.001) and stress (b=0.121, p<.001). The Positional mechanism accounted for 71% of coded harm experiences. Intercoder reliability for mechanism assignment reached kappa=0.824 at Stage 2 reconciliation. Daily intersectional discrimination predicted greater sleep disturbance (b=1.308, p=.004). ConclusionsSIHF and IGEMA together provide an empirically testable framework for specifying how space produces intersectional health inequities. Mechanism specification, not spatial location alone, is the condition for designing research and intervention that reaches the source of harm for multiply marginalized populations.

12
A multidomain intrinsic capacity score tracks longitudinal health trajectories in the UK Biobank

Zhai, T.; Babu, M.; Fuentealba, M.; Al Dajani, S.; Gladyshev, V. N.; Furman, D.; Snyder, M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350621 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

Quantitative measures for tracking functional health have generally been lacking. Intrinsic capacity (IC) has been proposed as an appropriate measure, but its metrics have been derived in small datasets and sparse longitudinal data. Using harmonized measures of cognition, locomotion, sensory function, vitality, and psychological well-being from 501,615 UK Biobank participants and followed for a median of 15.5 years, we derived domain-specific and composite IC scores. We examined associations with incident disease, cause-specific mortality, multimorbidity, lifestyle and socioeconomic factors, and multi-omic profiles from Olink proteomics, NMR metabolomics, clinical biochemistry, and blood-cell traits. We found that composite IC declined non-linearly with age, and within-person decline was steeper than the cross-sectional age measures. Participants with greater baseline morbidity, those who subsequently developed incident disease, and those who died earlier in follow-up showed lower IC trajectories across adulthood. The IC domains were only modestly correlated with one another, supporting multidimensionality, yet higher overall IC was associated with lower risk of most diseases examined. The dominant IC domain varied by endpoint, with cognition informative for dementia, sensory function for hearing loss, psychological capacity for depression, locomotion for osteoarthritis, and vitality for cardiometabolic outcomes. IC was also associated cross-sectionally with physical activity, insomnia, smoking, medication burden, and socioeconomic disadvantage. More proteins were found predictive for vitality, and enrichment converged on immune/inflammatory and metabolic pathways. Blood-based surrogates recapitulated part of the phenotypic signal, particularly for vitality. Overall, this IC framework captures longitudinal health trajectories and broad disease vulnerability in a large middle- to older-aged cohort and supports IC as a clinically meaningful, multidomain phenotype of aging and identifies blood-based correlates that may facilitate at-scale future monitoring of aging-related function declines.

13
Effect of a sanitation intervention on the nutritional status of children in Maputo, Mozambique: a controlled before-and-after trial

Knee, J.; Sumner, T.; Adriano, Z.; Opondo, C.; Holcomb, D.; Viegas, E.; Nala, R.; Brown, J.; Cumming, O.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350506 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

BackgroundThe rapid growth of the worlds urban population has contributed to the expansion of informal urban settlements in many cities across the world. In these settings, lack of safe sanitation combined with high population density and poverty contributes to heightened health risks for often vulnerable populations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of a shared, onsite sanitation intervention on the nutritional status of children in Maputo, Mozambique. MethodsThe Maputo Sanitation (MapSan) trial was a controlled before-and-after study to evaluate the effect of a shared, onsite sanitation intervention on child health in Maputo, Mozambique. Here, we report the effects on childhood stunting, wasting and underweight, and height-for-age, weight-for-height and weight-for-age z-scores. Children were enrolled aged 1-48 months at baseline and outcomes were measured before and 12 and 24 months after the intervention, with concurrent measurement among children in a comparable control arm. The primary analysis was intention-to-treat. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02362932. ResultsWe enrolled 757 and 852 children in the intervention and control groups respectively. There was no evidence for an effect of the intervention on any outcome at 12 or 24 months of follow-up except for wasting where there was very weak evidence for an effect (adjusted prevalence ratio: 0.497; 95% CI: 0.22-1.11; p=0.09). In two exploratory analyses - one including only those children born into compounds post-intervention and a second excluding children in control compounds which had independently improved their sanitation facilities during follow-up - we found that stunting increased in the intervention group whilst wasting decreased. ConclusionsThis study contributes to the growing evidence on the role of sanitation in shaping child health outcomes in informal urban settlements. We found no evidence for an effect on stunting and weak evidence for an effect on wasting. More research is needed to understand how sanitation can reduce childhood undernutrition in complex urban environments.

14
WITHDRAWN: Detection of Measles Virus RNA in Wastewater: Monitoring for Wild-Type and Vaccine-Derived Strains in a National Preparedness Trial

Ahmed, W.; Gebrewold, M.; Verhagen, R.; Koh, M.; Gazeley, J.; Levy, A.; Simpson, S.; Nolan, M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350527 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

Wastewater surveillance (WWS) is established as a vital tool for monitoring polio and SARS-CoV-2 with potential to improve surveillance for many other infectious diseases. This study evaluated the feasibility of detecting measles virus (MeV) RNA in wastewater as part of a national WS preparedness trial in Brisbane, Australia, from March to June 2025. Composite and passive sampling methods were employed in parallel at three wastewater treatment plants serving populations between 230,000 and 584,000. Nucleic acids were extracted and analyzed using RT-qPCR targeting MeV N and M genes to distinguish wild-type and vaccine strains. MeV RNA were detected in both 24-hour composite and passive samples on May 26 to 27, 2025 from the largest catchment of 584,000 which also included an international airport. No measles cases were reported in this city or region within 4 weeks of the WS detections. These were confirmed as vaccine-derived measles virus (MeVV) strain via specific RT-qPCR assay. Extraction recoveries varied (11.5% to 70.5%), with passive sampling showing higher efficiency. This is the first report of use of passive samples for detection of MeV. These findings are consistent with other studies reporting WWS results of both MeVV genotype A and wild type genotype B and/or D. It demonstrates the potential for sensitive MeV WWS with rapid differentiation of MeVV from wild type MeV shedding, including in airport transport hubs and with different sample types. Use of WWS could strengthen measles surveillance by enabling rapid detection of MeV RNA and supporting outbreak preparedness and response. This requires optimised methods which are specific to or differentiate wild-type MeV from MeVV. Furthermore, the successful detection of MeV using passive sampling in this study highlights its potential for deployment in diverse global contexts which may include non-sewered settings.

15
Understanding community knowledge, attitudes and practices related to participation in household transmission investigations during infectious disease outbreaks

Meagher, N.; Hettiarachchi, D.; Hawkins, M. R.; Tavlian, S.; Spirkoska, V.; McVernon, J.; Carville, K. S.; Price, D. J.; Villanueva Cabezas, J. P.; Marcato, A. J.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350464 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

BackgroundThe World Health Organization has developed several global template protocols for epidemiological investigations, including for household transmission investigations (HHTIs). These investigations facilitate rapid characterisation of novel or re-emerging respiratory pathogens and support evidence-based public health actions. Beyond technical readiness, community buy-in is central to the feasibility and acceptability of HHTIs. Research is needed to determine the perceived legitimacy among the community to inform local protocol adaptation and development of implementation plans that consider community attitudes and needs. MethodsIn 2025, we conducted a convenience survey of community members living in Victoria, Australia to explore: their understanding of emerging respiratory diseases; their willingness to take part in public health surveillance activities such as HHTIs; the acceptability of clinical and epidemiological data collection and respiratory/blood sample collection as main components of HHTIs, and; participant comfort towards including their companion animals in HHTIs. ResultsWe received 282 survey responses, of which 235 were included in the analysis dataset. Compared to the general Victorian population, our participants included a higher proportion of participants who reported being female, tertiary-educated, of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander heritage, born in Australia and speaking only English at home. Participants indicated overall high levels of comfort and acceptability towards participation in HHTIs, particularly in relation to clinical and epidemiological data collection, with lesser but still high levels of comfort with providing multiple respiratory specimens in a 14-day period. Participants were least comfortable with other specimens such as urine and blood. Involving companion animals in HHTIs was similarly acceptable as human-focused components. ConclusionsDespite our survey population being non-representative of the general Victorian population, our findings provide valuable descriptive insights into the acceptability of HHTIs in Victoria, Australia from which to benchmark future local and international surveys and community engagement activities.

16
Noisy periodicity in tropical respiratory disease dynamics

Yang, F.; Hanks, E. M.; Conway, J. M.; Bjornstad, O. N.; Thanh, N. T. L.; Boni, M. F.; Servadio, J. L.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350660 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

Infectious disease surveillance systems in tropical countries show that respiratory disease incidence generally manifests as year-round activity with weak fluctuations and irregular seasonality. Previously, using a ten-year time series of influenza-like illness (ILI) collected from outpatient clinics in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), Vietnam, we found a combination of nonannual and annual signals driving these dynamics, but with unknown mechanisms. In this study, we use seven stochastic dynamical models incorporating humidity, temperature, and school term to investigate plausible mechanisms behind these annual and nonannual incidence trends. We use iterated filtering to fit the models and evaluate the models by comparing how well they replicate the combination of annual and nonannual signals. We find that a model including specific humidity, temperature, and school term best fits our observed data from HCMC and partially reproduces the irregular seasonality. The estimated effects from specific humidity and temperature on transmission are nonlinearly negative but weak. School dismissal is associated with decreased transmission, but also with low magnitude. Under these weak external drivers, we hypothesize that stochasticity makes a strong sub-annual cycle more likely to be observed in ILI disease dynamics. Our study shows a possible mechanism for respiratory disease dynamics in the tropics. When the external drivers are weak, the seasonality of respiratory disease dynamics is prone to the influence of stochasticity.

17
Time to diagnosis among children and adolescents with cancer in Quebec, Canada: a population-based study

Mullen, C.; Barr, R. D.; Strumpf, E.; El-Zein, M.; Franco, E. L.; Malagon, T.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350491 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

BackgroundTimely cancer diagnosis in children and adolescents is critical to improving outcomes, yet substantial variation in diagnostic intervals persists across cancer types and care settings. We aimed to quantify time to diagnosis and assess variations by patient, demographic, and system-level factors. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective population-based study of children and adolescents aged 0-19 years diagnosed with one of 12 common cancers between 2010 and 2022 in Quebec, Canada. The diagnostic interval was defined as the time from first cancer-related healthcare encounter to diagnosis. We calculated medians and interquartile ranges (IQR) overall and by cancer type and used multivariable quantile regression to identify factors associated with time to diagnosis at the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles. ResultsAmong 2,927 individuals with cancer, diagnostic intervals varied by cancer type and age. Median intervals were longest for carcinomas (100 days; IQR 33-192) and shortest for leukemias (8 days; IQR 3-44). Compared with children living in Montreal, living in regional areas and other large urban centres was associated with longer 50th and 75th percentiles of time to diagnosis for hepatic and central nervous system (CNS) tumours. Diagnostic intervals were shorter in the post-pandemic period (2020-2022) across several cancer sites, with CNS tumours showing reductions across all quantiles. InterpretationDiagnostic timeliness differed by cancer type, age, and rurality, but not by sex, material, or social deprivation. The shorter diagnostic intervals observed in the post-pandemic period suggest that pandemic-related changes in care pathways may have expedited diagnosis for some cancers.

18
Frequency of bacterial STI testing amongst people accessing sexual health services in England, 2024: a cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data

Baldry, G.; Harb, A.-K.; Findlater, L.; Ogaz, D.; Migchelsen, S. J.; Fifer, H.; Saunders, J.; Mohammed, H.; Sinka, K.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349546 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

ObjectivesWe determined the frequency of sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing among people accessing sexual health services (SHS) in England. MethodsWe assessed STI testing frequency in face-to-face and online SHSs in England using data from the GUMCAD STI surveillance system. We quantified different combinations of tests (e.g. single chlamydia test or full STI screen), number of tests completed in 2024 and test positivity by sociodemographic and behavioural characteristics, as well as clinical setting and outcomes. ResultsOverall, there were 2,222,028 attendances at SHS in England in 2024 that involved tests for chlamydia, gonorrhoea, syphilis and/or HIV. Most of these attendances involved tests for all four of these STIs. Most people accessing SHS in England tested once (80.1%), and a small minority (1.9%) tested at least quarterly (4+ times). Some groups had a comparably larger proportion of quarterly testers; these included gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) (6.7%), London residents (3.6%), online testers (2.5%), people using HIV-PrEP (13%), and people with 5+ partners in the previous 3 months (10.6%). Only 10.5% of GBMSM reporting higher-risk sexual behaviours tested quarterly despite recommendations for quarterly testing in this group. ConclusionsThe majority of those who tested for STIs in England in 2024 only tested once. The minority who tested at least quarterly had a higher proportion of GBMSM, people using HIV-PrEP, London residents and people reporting higher risk behaviours. Quarterly testing often appears to be aligned with current testing recommendations in England; however, we also observed that only a low proportion of behaviourally high-risk GBMSM and HIV-PrEP users are meeting these recommendations. It is important to acknowledge groups with lower or higher testing frequency when developing interventions and updating guidelines related to STI testing. WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPICThe effectiveness of asymptomatic testing for chlamydia and gonorrhoea in gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), and the potential impact of the consequent increased antibiotic use on rising antimicrobial resistance and individual harm has recently been questioned. Testing and treatment remains a key pillar of STI prevention and management; despite this, there is limited evidence of STI testing frequency within sexual services (SHS) on a national level. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDSThis analysis shows that the majority of people attending SHSs in England in 2024 tested once, and only a small proportion of behaviourally high-risk people tested frequently. HOW THIS STUDY MIGHT AFFECT RESEARCH, PRACTICE OR POLICYAwareness of groups that are behaviourally high risk but testing infrequently is important to guide interventions and messaging regarding STI testing. The low levels of frequent testing, even among those who would be recommended quarterly testing under UK guidelines, provides important context for wider discussion around asymptomatic STI screening.

19
Wearable-derived physiological features for trans-diagnostic disease comparison and classification in the All of Us longitudinal real-world dataset

Huang, X.; Hsieh, C.; Nguyen, Q.; Renteria, M. E.; Gharahkhani, P.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350352 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

Wearable-derived physiological features have been associated with disease risk, but most current studies focus on single conditions, limiting understanding of cross-disease patterns. This study adopts a trans-diagnostic approach to examine whether wearable data capture shared and condition-specific physiological signatures across multiple chronic conditions spanning physical and mental health, and then evaluates the utility of these features for disease classification. A total of 9,301 patients with at least 21 days of consecutive FitBit data from the All of Us Controlled Tier Dataset version 8 were analyzed. Disease subcohorts included cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), major depressive disorder (MDD), anxiety, bipolar disorder, and attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), chosen based on prevalence and relevance. Logistic regression and XGBoost models were fitted for each disease subcohort versus the control cohort. We found that compared to using just baseline demographic and lifestyle features, incorporating wearable-derived features enabled improved classification performance in all subcohorts for both models, except for ADHD where improvement was mainly observed for ROC-AUC in logistic regression model likely due to the smaller sample size in ADHD subcohort. The largest performance gains were observed in MDD (increase in ROC-AUC of 0.077 for Logistic regression, 0.071 for XGBoost; p < 0.001) and anxiety (increase in ROC-AUC of 0.077 for logistic regression, 0.108 for XGBoost; p < 0.001). This study provides one of the first comprehensive transdiagnostic evaluations of wearable-derived features for disease classification, highlighting their potential to enhance risk stratification in the real-world setting as a practical complement to clinical assessments and providing a foundation to explore more fine-grained wearable data. Author summaryWearable devices such as fitness trackers and smartwatches are becoming increasingly popular and affordable, providing continuous measurements of heart rate, physical activity, and sleep. Alongside the growing digitization of health records, this creates new opportunities for large-scale, real-world health studies. In this study, we analyzed wearable-derived physiological patterns across a range of chronic conditions spanning both physical and mental health to better understand how these signals relate to disease risk. We found that incorporating wearable-derived heart rate, activity and sleep features improved disease risk classification across several conditions, with particularly strong gains for major depressive disorder and anxiety. By examining how individual features contributed to model predictions, we also identified meaningful associations between physiological signals and disease risk. For example, both duration and day-to-day variation of deep and rapid eye movement (REM) sleep were associated with increased risk in certain conditions. Our study supports the development of real-time, automated tools to assess disease risk alongside clinical care.

20
Non-genetic component of height as a surrogate marker for childhood socioeconomic position and its association with cardiovascular and brain health: results from HCHS/SOL

Moon, J.-Y.; Filigrana, P.; Gallo, L. C.; Perreira, K. M.; Cai, J.; Daviglus, M.; Fernandez-Rhodes, L. E.; Garcia-Bedoya, O.; Qi, Q.; Thyagarajan, B.; Tarraf, W.; Wang, T.; Kaplan, R.; Isasi, C. R.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350438 medRxiv
Top 19%
0.0%
Show abstract

Childhood socioeconomic position (SEP) can have lifelong effects on health. Many studies have used adult height as a surrogate marker for early-life conditions. In this study, we derived the non-genetic component of height, calculated as the residual from sex-specific standardized height regressed on genetically predicted height, as a surrogate for childhood SEP, using data from the Hispanic Community Healthy Study/Study of Latinos (2008-2011). A positive residual would indicate favorable early-life conditions promoting growth, while a negative residual indicates early-life adversity that may stunt the development. The height residual was associated with early-life variables such as parental education, year of birth, US nativity and age at first migration to the US (50 states/DC), supporting the validity of height residual as a surrogate for early-life conditions. Furthermore, a height residual was positively associated with better cardiovascular health (CVH) and cognitive function among middle-aged and older adults. Interestingly, among <35 years old, the height residual was negatively associated with the "Lifes Essential 8" clinical CVH scores. These results suggest the non-genetic component of height as a surrogate for childhood environment, with predictive value for CVH and cognitive function.